Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.176978 3.666443 4.203254 4.835285 5.558701 6.360501 7.316270
2025-01-26 2.564342 3.222513 4.004445 5.000391 6.233766 7.709663 9.608646
2025-02-02 2.202620 2.981027 3.972264 5.323568 7.114228 9.402064 12.543551
2025-02-09 1.852841 2.680856 3.803058 5.428772 7.716892 10.815041 15.320649
2025-02-16 1.571784 2.416555 3.627996 5.482043 8.236901 12.166119 18.181004
2025-02-23 1.302770 2.118855 3.351860 5.336809 8.436592 13.073015 20.510122
2025-03-02 1.068458 1.831422 3.041549 5.083304 8.421913 13.639201 22.375479
2025-03-09 0.936739 1.684783 2.925139 5.109440 8.833667 14.889257 25.430850
2025-03-16 0.801551 1.509348 2.733662 4.979168 8.962353 15.686306 27.827489
2025-03-23 0.752692 1.477565 2.780307 5.258960 9.815198 17.769616 32.611057
2025-03-30 0.694738 1.419350 2.770210 5.432135 10.494281 19.619114 37.182051
2025-04-06 0.624121 1.325589 2.680666 5.443209 10.872047 20.964396 40.979899
2025-04-13 0.526816 1.166232 2.449089 5.160489 10.677350 21.273037 42.960799
2025-04-20 0.493437 1.134407 2.465480 5.372570 11.477007 23.551847 48.981801
2025-04-27 0.477218 1.137071 2.552716 5.741613 12.639347 26.666115 57.006692
2025-05-04 0.441270 1.089905 2.527700 5.868359 13.311689 28.871325 63.434717
2025-05-11 0.404592 1.035123 2.478150 5.933829 13.858811 30.875370 69.663102
2025-05-18 0.357250 0.947026 2.340867 5.781629 13.903915 31.818057 73.717690
2025-05-25 0.308782 0.847958 2.163535 5.510282 13.639836 32.050818 76.220086
2025-06-01 0.283731 0.804965 2.114703 5.540048 14.081761 33.900711 82.564976
2025-06-08 0.252489 0.740383 2.003362 5.400039 14.097390 34.775770 86.749509
2025-06-15 0.246115 0.743028 2.063501 5.703166 15.241679 38.409886 97.843348
2025-06-22 0.234559 0.729184 2.078594 5.890770 16.116225 41.488827 107.917113